报告人:王晨
报告地点:数学与统计学院403室
报告时间:2017年09月30日星期六14:00-15:00
邀请人:
报告摘要:
Johansen’s (1988, 1991) likelihood ratio test for cointegration rank of a vector autoregression (VAR) depends only on the squared sample canonical correlations between current changes and past levels of a simple transformation of the data. We study the asymptotic behavior of the empirical distribution of those squared canonical correlations when the number of observations and the dimensionality of the VAR diverge to infinity simultaneously and proportionally. We find that the distribution weakly converges to the so-called Wachter distribution. This finding provides a theoretical explanation for the observed tendency of Johansen’s test to find “spurious cointegration”. This is a joint work with Alexei Onatski.
主讲人简介:
王晨,剑桥大学经济系博士后,毕业于新加坡国立大学统计与应用概率系。