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An SVIR epidemic model with delay and generalized incidence rate
时间:2018年06月15日 09:34 点击数:

报告人:魏凤英

报告地点:数学与统计学院104室

报告时间:2018年06月19日星期二09:00-10:00

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报告摘要:

In this talk, we formulate an epidemic model with age of vaccination and generalized nonlinear incidence rate, where the total population size consists of the susceptible, the vaccinated, the infected and the removed. We then reach a stochastic SVIR model when the fluctuation is introduced into the transmission rate. By using Ito's formula and Lyapunov methods, we firstly show that the stochastic epidemic model admits a unique global positive solution with the positive initial value. We then obtain the sufficient conditions of the stochastic epidemic model. Moreover, the threshold that tells the disease spreads or not is derived. If the intensity of the white noise is small enough and $\tilde{R}_0<1$, then the disease eventually becomes extinct with negative exponential rate. If $\tilde{R}_0>1$, then the disease is weak permanent. The persistence in the mean of the infected is also obtained when the indicator $\hat{R}_0>1$, which means the disease will prevail in a long run. As a consequence, several illustrative examples are separately carried out with numerical simulations to support the main results of this paper.

主讲人简介:

魏凤英,福州大学数学与计算机科学学院教授,硕士生导师。现任数学系副主任,福建省生物数学学会第三届理事。主要研究随机微分方程及其在生物数学中的应用。2007年度获福州大学学术新人奖,2008年,参加范更华教授主持的离散数学及其应用“211工程”重点学科团队,2015-2016任赫尔辛基大学访问教授。曾主持国家自然科学基金两项、福建省自然科学基金三项;曾参与国家自然科学基金三项、教育部基金一项、福建省自然科学基金一项,其中20余篇代表性工作被SCI收录。

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