Identification and multiply robust estimation of causal effects via instrumental variables from an auxiliary population
报告人:李伟
报告地点:腾讯会议ID:254-351-142
报告时间:2025年10月15日星期三9:30-10:30
邀请人:葛磊
报告摘要:
Estimating causal effects in a target population with unmeasured confounders is challenging, especially when instrumental variables (IVs) are unavailable. However, IVs from auxiliary populations with similar problems can help infer causal effects in the target population. While the homogeneous conditional average treatment effect assumption has been widely used for effect transportability, it has not been explored in IV-based data fusion. We include it as a basic approach, though it may be biased when treatment effect heterogeneity exists. As an alternative approach, we introduce the equi-confounding assumption that the unmeasured confounding bias remains the same after adjusting for observed covariates, while allowing conditional average treatment effects to differ across populations. This allows us to identify the confounding bias in the auxiliary population and remove it from the treatment-outcome association in the target population to recover the causal effect. We develop multiply robust estimators under both approaches and demonstrate them through simulation studies and a real data application.
主讲人简介:
李伟,中国人民大学统计学院副教授,中国人民大学吴玉章青年学者,入选国家高层次青年人才计划。研究兴趣包括因果推断、缺失数据及其在生物医学、社会经济学等领域中的应用。研究成果发表于JRSSB, Biometrika等国际知名期刊。主持国家自然科学基金面上和青年项目、北京市自然科学基金面上项目等多项课题。